Will Jerome Powell say “Bank”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Bank” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 press conferences; Jun 18, 2025 – Apr 29, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 8.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Oct 24, 2025
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jerome Powell
Bank
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 press conferences); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…economy, for the people that we serve, that they can depend over time on a central bank that operates that way, free of political influence.
…market economy, in a democracy, and you’ll see pretty much Fed— central bank independence that looks a lot like, in some cases stronger than, what…
…it’s very important, and the reason it’s important is that it’s enabled central banks, generally, not to be perfect, but to serve the public well.
As detailed in a statement released today by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, reserve management purchases will amount to $40 billion in the…
…ask whether it’s stable and whether it could withstand shocks, right? So banks are well capitalized, while some households are clearly under stress. In the…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Bank |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jerome Powell say “Bank”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Jerome Powell said “Bank” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 25, 2025.
- What is the probability Jerome Powell says “Bank” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jerome Powell: ‘Bank’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/jerome-powell/words/bank (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jerome-powell&word=bank · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jerome-powell&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP