Will “Reward” be said on Survivor next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Reward” was said on Survivor in 14 of 14 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 8, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

68%from settlement history only · n=14counts: anyone
Last 10
10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 10 times
Counts
anyone
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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=reward

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Survivor

Reward

Probability
68% · n=14
Settled
14/14 (100%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for Survivor yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the contestants say during Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during the Survivor Season 50 Finale? · not listed

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What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 12? · not listed

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What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 12? · not listed

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What will any participating contestant say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Season 50 Episode 11? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 10? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the contestants say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jeff Probst say during Survivor Ep 9? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 12, 2026RewardKalshiYes
Mar 5, 2026RewardKalshiYes
Feb 26, 2026RewardKalshiYes
Dec 18, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Dec 11, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Dec 4, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Nov 27, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Nov 20, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Nov 13, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Nov 6, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Oct 30, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Oct 23, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Oct 16, 2025RewardKalshiYes
Oct 8, 2025RewardKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Reward” said on Survivor?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Reward” was said on Survivor in 14 of 14 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 8, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 12, 2026.
What is the probability “Reward” is said on Survivor next time?
68%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Survivor: ‘Reward’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/survivor/words/reward (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=survivor&word=reward · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=survivor&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP