Donald Trump: Weekly window, Dec 28, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (December 22 - 28)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Dec 22, 2025 to Dec 28, 2025. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
18 words · 7 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ass / Shit | Yes | – | 0 | 59%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| ISIS | Yes | – | 0 | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Happy New Year | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Very Merry Christmas | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Colorado | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| November 5th | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | Yes | – | 0 | 33%n=50 from settlement history | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | – | 0 | 75%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | No | – | 0 | 68%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Transgender | No | – | 0 | 67%n=46 from settlement history | – |
| Baby | No | – | 0 | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Jesus Christ | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tough Cookie | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump Family | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | – | 0 | 52%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Too Late | No | – | 0 | 51%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bibi / Israel | No | – | 0 | 49%n=68 from settlement history | – |
| Dog | No | – | 0 | 43%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-december-22-28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP