# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2025-12-28 (settled) · 18 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-22-28 · as_of 2026-10-26T08:58:40Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-28 · tn/th blank: no transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-december-22-28 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between December 22, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and December 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:28Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	34	25	0.74	nnYYYYYnYY	0.75	hist	0	0	no	1
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	28	18	0.64	YYYYYnYYYn	0.68	hist	0	0	no	1
Transgender	transgender	48	23	0.48	YnnYYYYnnn	0.67	hist	0	0	no	1
Baby	baby	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.6	hist	0	0	no	1
Ass / Shit	ass|shit	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.59	hist	0	0	yes	1
ISIS	isis	2	1	0.5	nY	0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
World Cup	world cup	7	4	0.57	YYYYnnn	0.52	hist	0	0	no	1
Too Late	too late	6	2	0.33	nYnnYn	0.51	hist	0	0	no	1
Colorado	colorado	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Bibi / Israel	bibi|israel	0	0			0.49	hist	0	0	no	1
November 5th	november 5th	0	0			0.47	hist	0	0	yes	1
Dog	dog	7	2	0.29	YnYnnnn	0.43	hist	0	0	no	1
Epstein	epstein	51	8	0.16	nnnnnnnnnn	0.33	hist	0	0	yes	1
Happy New Year	happy new year	0	0			0.52	prior	0	0	yes	1
Jesus Christ	jesus christ	0	0			0.52	prior	0	0	no	1
Tough Cookie	tough cookie	0	0			0.52	prior	0	0	no	1
Trump Family	trump family	0	0			0.52	prior	0	0	no	1
Very Merry Christmas	very merry christma	0	0			0.52	prior	0	0	yes	1