Will Donald Trump say “Alien” 3+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Alien” 3+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2024 (100%), most recently on Aug 23, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Alien 3+ times
- Probability
- 41% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…border in American history. And in the past 17 months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted into the United States. Record numbers of illegal alien…
…in Atlanta. It's like a crime. Horrible. Which released the savage illegal alien monsters who murdered Georgia nursing student Lake and Riley. You know all…
…Court of the United States, giving free health care to all illegal aliens, defunding the police, closing all prisons, releasing thousands of violent criminals to…
…deadly sanctuary cities. He voted to give lavish welfare benefits to illegal aliens and even wrote a memo giving illegal alien criminals instructions on how…
…through, totally unchecked, totally unvetted. In the past 17 months, zero illegal aliens have been admitted to the United States. ZERO, RIGHT? Remember the way…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2024 | Alien 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 22, 2024 | Alien 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Alien 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Alien” 3+ times at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 22, 2024 (100%), most recently on Aug 23, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Alien 3+ times” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Alien 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/alien-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=alien%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP