Will Donald Trump say “Congress / House”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Congress / House” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 19, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 27, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 7. 3 later appearances without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Congress / House
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…as your next governor. And we're also going to win a Republican House and a Republican Senate. And the fake news media hates it when…
…left Democrats all across the country. We're going to win the Republican House and we're going to win the Republican Senate in record numbers. People…
…left Democrats all across the country. And we're going to win a Republican House and a Republican Senate and do things like you wouldn't believe.
…Omar, the one that she used to get elected and sworn into Congress. In other words, she used the name Elan Omar, but rather it's…
…Down Act, a big deal.And it went almost, I think, unanimously through Congress. We are very bipartisan. Melania's continued leadership has been vital to helping…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Congress / House |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Congress / House”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Congress / House” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Congress / House” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Congress / House’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/congress-or-house (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=congress%20%2F%20house · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP