# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · other 2026-02-19 · 23 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-in-rome-ga-on-february-19 · as_of 2026-10-27T09:11:21Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-02-19 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-in-rome-ga-on-february-19 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the events on February 19, 2026.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
No No No	no no no	1	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.54	hist	yes
Hell 5+ times	hell#5	5	11	7	0.64	YnnnnYYYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Fake News / CNN	cnn|fake new	1	0	0			1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Democrat Shutdown	democrat shutdown	1	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	1	1	0.49	hist	no
China 5+ times	china#5	5	22	16	0.73	YnYnYnYnYY	1	1	0.47	hist	yes
Taylor / Brown	brown|taylor	1	0	0			1	1	0.47	hist	no
Biden / Obama 5+ times	biden|obama#5	5	6	4	0.67	nYYYYn	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Abrams / Hawk	abram|hawk	1	0	0			1	0	0.46	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times	billion|million|trillion#20	20	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Egg / Bean	bean|egg	1	0	0			1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Traitor	traitor	1	0	0			1	0	0.42	hist	no
AI / Crypto	ai|crypto	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.41	hist	no
America / American 30+ times	america|american#30	30	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.39	hist	no
Constitution	constitution	1	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.39	hist	no
America First	america first	1	21	9	0.43	nnnYnnnYnY	1	0	0.38	hist	yes
Battery	battery	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Defund	defund	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Job 15+ times	job#15	15	4	2	0.5	YYnn	1	1	0.36	hist	yes
National Guard	national guard	1	28	10	0.36	nnnnnYnYnn	1	1	0.36	hist	no
Congress / House	congress|house	1	0	0			1	1	0.35	hist	yes
Fulton County	fulton county	1	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	yes
Inherited a Mess	inherited a mess	1	0	0			1	1	0.41	prior	yes
Alien 3+ times	alien#3	3	2	2	1	YY	1	1