Will Donald Trump say “America / American” 30+ times?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “America / American” 30+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 5.

46%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

America / American 30+ times

Probability
46% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 9:55In transcript

…voted for every single bill that gave you the worst inflation in American history. And by the way, for the last 3 months, inflation is…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 5:36In transcript

…please. In this election, the Democrat party has nominated the most extreme anti-American radicals ever to seek office, including far-left lunatic. I mean, I couldn't…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 5:00In transcript

…is going to be a continuation of the US Senate and elect America first Republicans all up and down the line. We have a lot…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 1:30In transcript

…cyber crime perpetrated by fraudsters, hackers and scammers who try to steal Americans' money, prey on senior citizens, exploit children and young people through fraud,…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 4:33In transcript

…great. And we're going to elect a Republican House, a Republican Senate, America First Patriots up and down the line. We have them all standing…

What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 19, 2026America / American 30+ timesPolymarketNo
Sep 23, 2025America / American 30+ timesPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “America / American 30+ times”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “America / American” 30+ times at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 23, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “America / American 30+ times” next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘America / American 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/america-or-american-30plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=america%20%2F%20american%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP