What is the probability Donald Trump says “Catholic / Muslim” next time?

40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Donald Trump say “Catholic / Muslim”?

Name: Donald Trump: “Catholic / Muslim” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Catholic / Muslim” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 8, 2025.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 20:39 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Catholic / Muslim

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks: said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Rally in Michigan · Oct 25, 2026 · 3:37In transcript

…Michigan for a very important reason. I'm here to keep a jihadist Muslim Brotherhood member from becoming a United States senator. And that's the fact.…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 7:12In transcript

…from a place called Michigan? He's in there. Jihadist. He's a jihadist. Muslim Brotherhood. Are you a Muslim? Oh, no. I don't know anything about…

What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Sep 8, 2025	Catholic / Muslim	Polymarket	Yes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Catholic / Muslim”?: As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Catholic / Muslim” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 8, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Catholic / Muslim” next time?: 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Catholic / Muslim’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/catholic-or-muslim (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=catholic%20%2F%20muslim · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP