Will Donald Trump say “Washington / DC”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Washington / DC” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Washington / DC
- Probability
- 44% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…So, it looks sharp. We And we did that whole thing with Washington. Washington DC went from a murderous, horrible place two years ago to…
…lowest level in 125 years since 1900. And when Ashley goes to Washington DC where Joanie has spent a lot of very prosperous years. Great…
…many American families. I also want to recognize our US attorney from DC, Jeanine Pirro, who's here, and our chief of our criminal division, Tysen…
…Henry, you got John Baraso, one of the most respected men in Washington, Senator Boy, that's a power group. You have Bernie Marino Furry, a…
…More importantly, when I arrived on January 20th of last year in Washington, D.C., it was riddled with crime. And now crime is down 87%…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Washington / DC |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Washington / DC | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Washington / DC | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Washington / DC | Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Washington / DC | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Washington / DC”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Washington / DC” at 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 25, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Washington / DC” next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Washington / DC’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/dc-or-washington (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=dc%20%2F%20washington · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP