Will Donald Trump say “Gun / Shooter”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gun / Shooter” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 8, 2025.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Gun / Shooter

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Michigan · Oct 25, 2026 · 8:10In transcript

…their original thought. Always, you know, he wants to take away your guns. He wants to do all the things that you're not going to…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 1:26:48In transcript

…and into some of the military. And John Oaf is also an anti-gun radical who sponsored a bill banning the most popular firearms in America.…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Florida · Oct 23, 2026 · 10:52In transcript

…wants to pack the Supreme Court. He wants to take away your guns. He wants to open the borders. He wants to have transgender for…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 50:01In transcript

…us. We shoot at them because right down the barrel of the gun or whatever launched whatever weapon that No, it's unbeliev Think of it.…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in South Carolina · Oct 21, 2026 · 12:07In transcript

…She's you. She's solid. She's great. So Annie Andrews is also an anti-gun extremist who endorsed a ban on the most popular firearms in America.…

What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 8, 2025Gun / ShooterPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Gun / Shooter”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Gun / Shooter” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 8, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Gun / Shooter” next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Gun / Shooter’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/gun-or-shooter (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=gun%20%2F%20shooter · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP