Will Donald Trump say “Tariff / Inflation”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tariff / Inflation” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tariff / Inflation
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the golden age of America. This is the richest, the best. And tariffs. Tariffs. My favorite word, tariffs. Now it's my fifth favorite. You've heard…
…state. He voted for every single bill that gave you the worst inflation in American history. And by the way, for the last 3 months,…
…last time the radical Democrats had power, they gave us the worst inflation in American history, the highest energy prices in American history. You know,…
…last time the radical Democrats had power, they gave us the worst inflation in American history, the highest energy prices in American history, the worst…
…everything is gone, including their economy. The only thing not gone is inflation. They have 301 percent as of this morning. The -- their money…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | Tariff / Inflation |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tariff / Inflation”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tariff / Inflation” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tariff / Inflation” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tariff / Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/inflation-or-tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=inflation%20%2F%20tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP