# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-04-10 · 15 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-cabinet-meeting-on-april-10 · as_of 2026-10-27T21:25:08Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2025-04-10 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-cabinet-meeting-on-april-10 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Apple	apple	1	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.55	hist	no
Iran 3+ times	iran#3	3	2	2	1	YY	0.51	hist	no
Japan	japan	1	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
President Xi	president xi	1	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	0.44	hist	no
NAFTA	nafta	1	7	3	0.43	YnnYnnY	0.42	hist	yes
Egg	egg	1	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.39	hist	yes
China 10+ times	china#10	10	21	8	0.38	nYYnYnnnYn	0.38	hist	yes
TikTok	tiktok	1	9	3	0.33	YnYYnnnnn	0.35	hist	no
Recession	recession	1	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
Tariff 20+ times	tariff#20	20	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	78	2	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	hist	no
Joe / Biden 3+ times	biden|joe#3	3	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Make a Deal	make a deal	1	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Panican	panican	1	0	0			0.39	prior	no