Will Donald Trump say “India / Pakistan”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “India / Pakistan” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 8, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
India / Pakistan
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…know, I feel much better about saving all those lives. How about India and Pakistan? I stopped them from fighting. They shot down 11 planes.…
…about let's say for our country. You settle eight wars. You stop India and Pakistan. Two nuclear. You stop them there. I did on trade.…
…to settle wars because of it. I say, "You going to fight India and Pakistan?" They were fighting. They 11 planes already knocked down. And…
…I settled Kosovo, Serbia, the Congo and Rwanda. These were raging wars. Pakistan and India. Remember they were raging. Egypt and Ethiopia, Armenia, Azerbaijan. We…
It sounds like a trade deal with India is close. Can you go into that?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2025 | India / Pakistan | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “India / Pakistan”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “India / Pakistan” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Aug 8, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “India / Pakistan” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘India / Pakistan’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/india-or-pakistan (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=india%20%2F%20pakistan · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP