Keir Starmer: Remarks, Jun 23, 2026
Polymarket What will Keir Starmer say during his resignation announcement?
Markets
27 words · 17 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ban | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Constituent / Constituency | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Defense | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Europe | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Green | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Labour | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Northern Ireland | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Poverty | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Record Funding | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Record Investment | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia / Ukraine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Scotland | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shadow | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Media | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thank 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Urgent | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Waiting List | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Condolences | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crime / Criminal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deep / Deeply | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hate / Hatred | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NHS 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| United States | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Victim | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-keir-starmer-say-during-his-resignation-announcement-20260622052442802 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP