Will Keir Starmer say “Europe”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Europe” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Europe
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…but can I pay my own tribute—[Interruption.] I disagreed with Labour on Europe, and I have disagreed with the Conservatives on Europe! I say to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…properly fund our forces with a new growth and defence partnership with Europe, and will he urge his successor to drop Labour’s red lines to…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…to that, but I have signed the Official Secrets Act. [Laughter.] On Europe, when history looks back at the Prime Minister’s time in office, I…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
I remember when the last Government led Europe when we were fighting the war in Ukraine. When Russia invaded, we were ready. We supplied Ukraine…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…with the French prosecutor general, and I know that the Minister for Europe, my hon. Friend the Member for Cardiff South and Penarth (Stephen Doughty),…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Europe |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Europe”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Europe” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Europe” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Europe’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/europe (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=europe · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP