Will Keir Starmer say “United States”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “United States” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
United States
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…returned home after walking for 108 days across 3,000 miles in the United States to raise funds for Scottish Action for Mental Health. He has…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…deals with the EU, but also with India, North Korea and the United States. I remind the right hon. Gentleman of the value of those…
…powerful reminder of the deep and special relationship we have with the United States. In this Session of Parliament, this Labour Government have delivered the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | United States |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “United States”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “United States” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “United States” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘United States’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/united-state (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=united%20state · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP