Will Keir Starmer say “Ban”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Ban” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Ban
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…a young constituent in Darlington. Her testimony was instrumental in securing a ban on stranger contact for under-16s. She has the letter that the Prime…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…we are acting to drive it out of society: new powers to ban repeated protests, new plans to root antisemitism out of our schools, universities…
…well beyond existing sanctions. It is a new package. That includes new bans on maritime services on liquefied natural gas and new bans on refined…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Ban |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Ban”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Ban” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Ban” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Ban’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/ban (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=ban · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP