Will Keir Starmer say “Crime / Criminal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Crime / Criminal” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Crime / Criminal
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…illegal by law—any blade. We will work with the Sikh community, knife crime campaigners and the police to learn the right lessons. That is the…
…of whom were children. The murder of Henry Nowak was an evil crime made much worse by the lies of the killer and the police…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…raising this issue, because the Government are cracking down on disgraceful waste criminals through, for instance, tougher penalties for fly-tippers—including service in clean-up squads, and…
…export suspensions, and whether the UK is acting within the law. Usually, criminals or their accomplices are the ones destroying evidence of their crimes, not…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Crime / Criminal |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Crime / Criminal”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Crime / Criminal” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Crime / Criminal” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Crime / Criminal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/crime-or-criminal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=crime%20%2F%20criminal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP