Will Keir Starmer say “Trump”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Trump” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (33%), most recently on Feb 27, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Trump
- Probability
- 24% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…him how much incoming I had a week ago Monday, after President Trump intervened on the USA red card, asking me to get the England…
…Prime Minister alarmed that some parties in this House still follow Donald Trump with policies to send temperatures soaring even higher? Will the Prime Minister…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…are also deep concerns about Palantir’s human rights record in relation to Trump and US Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Israel’s military action in Gaza.…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…warfare”—[Laughter.] Tony Blair says that the UK should suck up to Donald Trump, kowtow to US tech barons and go slow on Europe—the Prime Minister…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…rugby player who sadly passed away at the weekend. In 2025, Donald Trump and Elon Musk abolished America’s international aid programme. At the same time,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Trump”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Trump” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (33%), most recently on Feb 27, 2025.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Trump” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP