Will Keir Starmer say “Condolences”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Condolences” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Condolences
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…convictions, whose vivid and fearless character captured the public imagination. My heartfelt condolences go out to all her friends and loved ones. It is chilling…
I associate myself with the Prime Minister’s condolences and his birthday good wishes to the NHS. Everyone in my constituency of Surrey Heath wants a…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…crash in Devon, and I want to put on record our sincere condolences to the families of Lieutenant Commander Chris Gayson, Lieutenant Lily-Mae Fisher and…
…deaths of their loved ones. I also place on record our deepest condolences to the family of Lance Corporal James Freeman, who died in a…
May I extend my deepest condolences, and I am sure the condolences of the House, to the family and colleagues of Lance Bombardier Ciara Sullivan,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Condolences |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Condolences”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Condolences” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Condolences” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Condolences’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/condolence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=condolence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP