Will Keir Starmer say “Scotland”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Scotland” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Scotland
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…data centres are set to be built. The large data centres in Scotland’s planning system could demand more power than the whole of Scotland needs…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
First, I join the right hon. Member in his comments about the Scotland team and the Scotland fans, and in wishing England well. I am…
I, too, wish Scotland well in the upcoming match, and of course I wish England well in the third match—a little better than last night,…
…way, I would like to wish the best of luck to both Scotland and England. I would also like to wish you a happy birthday.…
…Friend is right to champion the brilliant, talented workforce building buses in Scotland. Our pipeline will give UK manufacturers the certainty and stability they need…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Scotland |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Scotland”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Scotland” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Scotland” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Scotland’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/scotland (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=scotland · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP