Will Keir Starmer say “Constituent / Constituency”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Constituent / Constituency” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 7.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Constituent / Constituency
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
I know that the college in my hon. Friend’s constituency has made a bid to the post-16 and construction skills capacity fund to expand its…
…hospital, and then to oppose actually building it. He has urged his constituents to oppose it because, to quote him, “if this hospital goes ahead,…
…diagnosis on record. He will be pleased to know that, in his constituency, waiting lists in his local care board are down by 40,000. That…
…likely taxpayer subsidy through gift aid of more than £5 million. Our constituents will be appalled by this. Does the Prime Minister agree that funnelling…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…for upgrades, including step-free access at Norwood. I am proud that her constituents are travelling on rail services that are now back in public ownership,…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Constituent / Constituency |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Constituent / Constituency”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Constituent / Constituency” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Constituent / Constituency” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Constituent / Constituency’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/constituency-or-constituent (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=constituency%20%2F%20constituent · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP