Will “Starmer” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Starmer” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 15% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Starmer
- Probability
- 15% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 0 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…surprised to hear the Prime Minister mention process—it almost felt like Keir Starmer was still standing there. The Prime Minister talks about renewables. Of course…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…2030 would put our troops at risk. He also said that Keir Starmer was “unable”, and the Treasury “unwilling”, to provide that funding. So is…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…in this House, will the Prime Minister share with all of us any of the viral moments that have had cut-through in the Starmer household?
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…a pay rise for 170,000 workers across Wales. I will end the note by saying, “We are lifting 70,000 Welsh children out of poverty—Keir Starmer”.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Starmer” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Starmer” was not said at the Prime Minister's Questions on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Starmer” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 15%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Starmer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/starmer (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=starmer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP