Will “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (12%), most recently on May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.
- Last 10
- 1/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Prime Minister's Questions
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
- Probability
- 24% · n=8
- Settled
- 1/8 (12%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 3 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in renewables, bring forward clean energy and, in this Parliament, substantially delink gas and electricity prices so that we can bring bills down. It will…
…messed it up, and we inherited that situation. I will take a pragmatic approach on oil and gas. We will set out our decisions shortly.
…today on quasi-judicial decisions, but we will take a pragmatic approach to oil and gas, as I have said before at the Dispatch Box. Let…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 20, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | Yes | 11 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 1 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 22, 2026 (12%), most recently on May 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP