Will “Police” be said at the next Prime Minister's Questions?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Police” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (60%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 PMQs we have transcripts for (Jun 24, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), 4 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4 of them.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearancePrime Minister's Questions
Police
- Probability
- 61% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
- Last 8 PMQs
- said in 4 of 4 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…week, but it was still a question about London. I did increase police numbers in my time as Mayor of Greater Manchester, but the right…
…to reopen empty buildings. I will look at the specifics on the police hub. This issue should be one that unites this House and one…
…gather today at the funeral of PC Matthew Blades, including many serving police officers. We send our thanks to them all for their service and…
…a capital city, face extra pressure that is not faced by other police forces. We are reviewing the funding formula as part of a wider…
…the House to consider a similar tribute to Ann. We thank the police for their work. The integrity of their investigation must be protected. You…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shownQuestions
- How often is “Police” said at the Prime Minister's Questions?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Police” was said at the Prime Minister's Questions on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Nov 12, 2025 (60%), most recently on Aug 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “Police” is said at the Prime Minister's Questions next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Prime Minister's Questions: ‘Police’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/prime-ministers-questions/words/police (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=police · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=prime-ministers-questions&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP