ABC World News Tonight: Episode, Aug 14, 2026
Kalshi What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
Markets
14 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: any host or reporter Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 61%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Luigi / Mangione | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ballroom / Pool | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 39%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Hurricane | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Apache | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | No | 51%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Powerball | No | 50%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| USS Abraham Lincoln | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Blockade | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Harvard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 25%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXWORLDNEWSMENTION-26AUG14 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP