Will “USS Abraham Lincoln” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “USS Abraham Lincoln” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 13, 2026 (25%), most recently on Aug 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 0. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
USS Abraham Lincoln
- Probability
- 36% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | USS Abraham Lincoln |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | USS Abraham Lincoln | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | USS Abraham Lincoln | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 13, 2026 | USS Abraham Lincoln | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “USS Abraham Lincoln” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “USS Abraham Lincoln” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 13, 2026 (25%), most recently on Aug 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “USS Abraham Lincoln” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 36%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘USS Abraham Lincoln’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/uss-abraham-lincoln (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=uss%20abraham%20lincoln · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP