Keir Starmer: Press conference, Feb 27, 2025
Kalshi What will Keir Starmer say at 2pm EST press conference with Trump?
Markets
30 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| BBC/British Broadcasting Company | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| King/Queen | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vladimir/Putin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AfD/Alternative for Germany | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Boris/Johnson | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Brexit | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Commonwealth | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cracking on | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon/Musk | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Football | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| G7 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Germany | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Glastonbury | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Harry/Kane | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigration | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Industrial Strategy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inquiry | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Level up / Leveling up | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| London | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mineral | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NHS/National Health Service | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nigel/Farage | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Reform | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rishi/Sunak | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tea | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wimbledon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXSTARMERMENTION-25FEB27 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP