Will Keir Starmer say “King/Queen”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Keir Starmer said “King/Queen” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
King/Queen
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Prime Minister has come to enjoy our exchanges—in fact, in the King’s Speech debate he told me that on difficult days my input was…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…donations, and we are taking further action, as set out in the King’s Speech. But the £5 million question still remains: why is the leader…
…committed to a moratorium on crypto donations to political parties, and the King’s Speech introduces tougher rules to protect our democracy. However, the £5 million…
The state visit by His Majesty the King is a powerful reminder of the deep and special relationship we have with the United States. In…
Queen Elizabeth II devoted her life to public service. As we mark the 100th anniversary of her birth, I am delighted that her extraordinary reign…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | King/Queen |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “King/Queen”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Keir Starmer said “King/Queen” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “King/Queen” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘King/Queen’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/king-or-queen (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=king%20%2F%20queen · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP