Will Keir Starmer say “Vladimir/Putin”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Vladimir/Putin” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Vladimir/Putin
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the Government absolutely must stick to the pledge that the Labour party put in its 2024 manifesto to halve violence against women and girls over…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…urgent and emergency care capacity. That improvement is because of the investment we have put in, but this is a matter for his local board.
…party politics on Ukraine, where we have stood firm! The only person who benefits when we play party politics on Russia and Ukraine is Putin.
…we have done, in relation to people out of work. We have put in place the youth guarantee for young people; we have raised the…
Let me deal with the first allegation the right hon. Lady put in that question. It was always the case that there would be developed…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | Vladimir/Putin |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Vladimir/Putin”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer said “Vladimir/Putin” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Vladimir/Putin” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Vladimir/Putin’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/putin-or-vladimir (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=putin%20%2F%20vladimir · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP