Will Keir Starmer say “Germany”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Germany” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
Germany
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…Since he took office, Poland has increased its funding to 4.8% and Germany has increased its funding to 3.7%. This year, Russia will spend 10%…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…ability to pay, Jake’s father is crowdfunding to pay for treatment in Germany with a new drug, omaveloxolone, which has received clinical approval here but…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | Germany |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “Germany”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Germany” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Germany” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Germany’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/germany (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=germany · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP