Will Keir Starmer say “AfD/Alternative for Germany”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “AfD/Alternative for Germany” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Keir Starmer
AfD/Alternative for Germany
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | AfD/Alternative for Germany |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Keir Starmer say “AfD/Alternative for Germany”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “AfD/Alternative for Germany” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
- What is the probability Keir Starmer says “AfD/Alternative for Germany” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘AfD/Alternative for Germany’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/afd-or-alternative-for-germany (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=afd%20%2F%20alternative%20for%20germany · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP