Will Keir Starmer say “Inquiry”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Inquiry” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (8 PMQs; Apr 22, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), since fewer than 2 press conferences have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Keir Starmer

Inquiry

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (8 PMQs); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Keir StarmerspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 1 July 2026 · Jul 1, 2026In transcript

…motorhome parked in the driveway, apparently. And now they are blocking an inquiry in the Scottish Parliament. Before they offer any more advice, they should…

Keir StarmerspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 24 June 2026 · Jun 24, 2026In transcript

…have giant questions of their own to answer. “Nothing to see here, don’t want to know, don’t want to have an inquiry”—totally the wrong approach.

Keir StarmerspeakerPrime Minister's Questions, 10 June 2026 · Jun 10, 2026In transcript

…is listened to and receives outstanding care. The recommendations of the Amos inquiry will be published shortly, and we will act to deliver lasting change.

Tessa Munt (Wells and Mendip Hills) (LD)otherPrime Minister's Questions, 22 April 2026 · Apr 22, 2026In transcript

…the MOD knows too, that the families are seeking not a public inquiry into the cause of the crash, but to know the reason why…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Keir Starmer say during his NATO press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Keir Starmer say during his resignation announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Keir Starmer say at 2pm EST press conference with Trump? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 27, 2025InquiryKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Keir Starmer say “Inquiry”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Keir Starmer did not say “Inquiry” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
What is the probability Keir Starmer says “Inquiry” next time?
31%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Keir Starmer: ‘Inquiry’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/keir-starmer/words/inquiry (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=keir-starmer&word=inquiry · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=keir-starmer&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP