Tom Homan: Episode, Mar 29, 2026
Kalshi What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation?
Markets
11 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanctuary | Yes | 60%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| National Security | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Body Camera / Body Cam | Yes | 38%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fentanyl | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kristi / Noem | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | No | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHOMANMENTION-26MAR29 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP