Will Tom Homan say “Deport / Deported / Deportation”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Tom Homan said “Deport / Deported / Deportation” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

66%from settlement history only · n=6counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

Deport / Deported / Deportation

Probability
66% · n=6
Settled
4/6 (67%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled no

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What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · settled yes

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 22, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes–
Aug 16, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes–
Jul 19, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo0
Jul 12, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 6, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes–
Apr 22, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Mar 29, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiNo–
Mar 26, 2026Deport / Deported / DeportationKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “Deport / Deported / Deportation”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Tom Homan said “Deport / Deported / Deportation” at 4 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (67%), most recently on Aug 22, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “Deport / Deported / Deportation” next time?
66%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Deport / Deported / Deportation’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/deport-or-deportation-or-deported (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=deport%20%2F%20deportation%20%2F%20deported · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP