Will Tom Homan say “National Security”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan said “National Security” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jun 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

53%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=national%20security

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

National Security

Probability
53% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)
Last 2 transcripts
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (2 episodes); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

MARGARET BRENNANhostFace the Nation (CBS), July 12, 2026 · Jul 12, 2026In transcript

…With his signature Southern twang, he was a singular voice on U.S. national security and an advocate for Ukraine. Graham had just returned from Kyiv,…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · settled no

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 7 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 16, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo–
Jul 19, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo0
Jul 12, 2026National SecurityKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 6, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes–
Apr 22, 2026National SecurityKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Mar 29, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes–
Mar 26, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes–

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “National Security”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan said “National Security” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jun 6, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “National Security” next time?
53%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘National Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/national-security (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=national%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP