Will Tom Homan say “Fraud”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Fraud” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tom Homan
Fraud
- Probability
- 26% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Fraud”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Fraud” at any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Fraud” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Fraud’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/fraud (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=fraud · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP