Will Tom Homan say “Democrat”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Democrat” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

59%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=democrat

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tom Homan

Democrat

Probability
59% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

MARGARET BRENNANhostFace the Nation (CBS), July 19, 2026 · Jul 19, 2026In transcript

…Iran. For more now, we begin with the vice chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, Democrat Mark Warner of Virginia. Senator, good morning to you.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

MARGARET BRENNANhostFace the Nation (CBS), July 12, 2026 · Jul 12, 2026In transcript

…Turner, and Israel's Ambassador Dr. Michael Leiter. We will also talk with Democrat Rahm Emanuel, who's just back from delivering a speech in Tel Aviv…

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: Saturday in America? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Fox News: My View with Lara Trump? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during the Turning Point Tour? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during his CPAC Fireside Chat? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during his Press Conference? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 12, 2026DemocratKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Apr 22, 2026DemocratKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Mar 29, 2026DemocratKalshiYes
Mar 26, 2026DemocratKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Tom Homan say “Democrat”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tom Homan said “Democrat” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 29, 2026.
What is the probability Tom Homan says “Democrat” next time?
59%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP