Will Tom Homan say “Mask / Masked”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Mask / Masked” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (2 episodes; Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), since fewer than 2 interviews have transcripts, 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceTom Homan
Mask / Masked
- Probability
- 24% · n=5
- Settled
- 0/5 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mask / Masked | No | – | |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mask / Masked | No | – | |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Mask / Masked | No | 0 | |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Mask / Masked | Void (did not qualify) | – | |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Mask / Masked | No | – | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mask / Masked | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Mask / Masked”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Mask / Masked” at any of the 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Mask / Masked” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Mask / Masked’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/mask-or-masked (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=mask%20%2F%20masked · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP