Will Tom Homan say “Kristi / Noem”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Kristi / Noem” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Jul 12, 2026 – Jul 19, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tom Homan
Kristi / Noem
- Probability
- 34% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kristi / Noem |  Kalshi | No |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Kristi / Noem | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Tom Homan say “Kristi / Noem”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Tom Homan did not say “Kristi / Noem” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Tom Homan says “Kristi / Noem” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tom Homan: ‘Kristi / Noem’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tom-homan/words/kristi-or-noem (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tom-homan&word=kristi%20%2F%20noem · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tom-homan&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP