ABC World News Tonight, October 23, 2026

On the Oct 23, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 7 of the 17 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

17 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17
Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability published before the event
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Trump 5+ timesYes1414✓73%n=63 from settlement history–
Alaska Yes1111✓42%n=2 from settlement history–
Russia / Ukraine Yes99✓62%n=6 from settlement history–
Starlink Yes99✓31%n=2 from settlement history–
Putin Yes11✓63%n=5 from settlement history–
NFL / Football Yes11✓42%n=4 from settlement history–
Kenya Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Diesel No00✓56%n=15 from settlement history–
Witkoff No00✓56%n=2 from settlement history–
Ramaswamy No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Hegseth No00✓42%n=2 from settlement history–
Pope / Vatican No00✓42%n=2 from settlement history–
Hunter Biden No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
West Bank No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
World Series No00✓39%n=3 from settlement history–
Inflation No00✓34%n=13 from settlement history–
Ebola No00✓25%n=9 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 24, 2026 00:13 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · ABC News (official YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

2 matches for “Boat”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Speaker not labelledreporter15:55

…ON THE BROADCAST, THE URGENT RESCUE OFF THE U.S. COAST, A SINKING BOAT. YOU'LL SEE THE PICTURES ALSO. THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION STAFFER WHO HAS NOW…

Speaker not labelledreporter16:42

BOATERS STRANDED THEIR BOAT SINKING OFF THE COAST OF FORT MYERS THIS WEEK. DEPUTIES FINDING THE MEN AFTER CALLS TO 911 RESCUERS THROWING OUT AN…

Where the listed words were said

Speaker not labelledreporter“Trump (5+)” · 0:57

…ALREADY THAT WOULD POTENTIALLY BLOCK CERTIFICATION OF THE ALASKA SENATE RACE IF THE REPUBLICAN DOES NOT WIN. PRESIDENT TRUMP TONIGHT SAYING HE TOLD THE DOJ

Speaker not labelledreporter“Alaska” · 8:01

…NOW LAUNCHING A LAWSUIT THAT WOULD POTENTIALLY BLOCK THE RESULTS OF THE ALASKA SENATE RACE IF THE DEMOCRAT WINS. AND TONIGHT, PRESIDENT TRUMP SAYS HE…

Speaker not labelledreporter“Russia / Ukraine” · 1:16

…TONIGHT, THE MAJOR HEADLINE INVOLVING MEGHAN MARKLE'S FATHER. THIS EVENING, THE DUCHESS, NOW REACTING TO THE DISTURBING ALLEGATIONS AGAINST HER DAD, THE WAR IN UKRAINE.

Speaker not labelledreporter“Starlink” · 13:33

…ON ONE WITH PRESIDENT ZELENSKY. WHAT ZELENSKY TELLS JAMES ABOUT ELON MUSK'S STARLINK WITH RUSSIAN DRONES COMING AT UKRAINE. WHY ZELENSKY SAYS IT IS CRITICAL…

Speaker not labelledreporter“Putin” · 14:51

…THINKS RUSSIA ASKED THE US TO TURN OFF THE EARLY WARNING SYSTEM. DO YOU THINK VLADIMIR PUTIN ASKED PRESIDENT TRUMP TO TURN OFF THE INTELLIGENCE?

Speaker not labelledreporter“NFL / Football” · 17:38

…SPOKESPERSON SAYING GRAY DIED OF NATURAL CAUSES. HE WAS 75 YEARS OLD. NFL HALL OF FAMER MARSHALL FAULK REVEALING HIS PARKINSON'S DISEASE. THE 53 YEAR…

Speaker not labelledreporter“Kenya” · 13:10

…OVERSEAS. THE RACE TO FIND SURVIVORS OF A BUILDING COLLAPSE IN NAIROBI, KENYA. TAKE A LOOK. AT LEAST TEN FLOORS OF THE BUILDING UNDER CONSTRUCTION.…

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