What is the probability “NFL / Football” is said on World News Tonight next time?

49%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “NFL / Football” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “NFL / Football” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, “NFL / Football” was said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 23, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 6.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 14:55 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

NFL / Football

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: any host or reporter

1 counted.

Speaker not labelledreporter17:38In transcript

…SPOKESPERSON SAYING GRAY DIED OF NATURAL CAUSES. HE WAS 75 YEARS OLD. NFL HALL OF FAMER MARSHALL FAULK REVEALING HIS PARKINSON'S DISEASE. THE 53 YEAR…