What is the probability “Amazon” is said on World News Tonight next time?

33%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.

Will “Amazon” be said on World News Tonight next time?

Name: World News Tonight: “Amazon” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Amazon” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 2. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.

33%from settlement history only · n=2counts: any host or reporter

Last 10: 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak: not said the last 2 times
Counts: any host or reporter

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 03:01 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

Amazon

Probability: 33% · n=2
Settled: 0/2 (0%)
Last 8 episodes: said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: any host or reporter

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 16, 2026 · Oct 16, 2026 · 24:33In transcript

You did see the crown. Yes, exactly. Heist at the Louvre, a new series from ABC Audio. Available now ad-free on Amazon Music.

Speaker not labelledreporterABC World News Tonight, October 12, 2026 · Oct 12, 2026 · 24:11In transcript

…Louvre, a new series from ABC Audio. Listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon Music or your favourite podcast app. or subscribe to 2020 True Crime…