Will “Saudi” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 23, 2026, “Saudi” was said on World News Tonight in 6 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2026 (55%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 3. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Saudi
- Probability
- 46% · n=11
- Settled
- 6/11 (55%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Counts: any host or reporter
1 counted.
…code podcast. Taxes and fees apply. Tonight, the FBI has arrested a Saudi national who was working in the U.S. as an engineer for artificial…
Counts: any host or reporter
3 counted.
…the Middle East. Iran-backed Houthi rebels hitting a packed airport terminal in Saudi Arabia with a missile. More than a dozen people killed. And President…
Every settled listing
newest first · 11 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Saudi |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | 10 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Saudi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Saudi” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, “Saudi” was said on World News Tonight in 6 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 23, 2026 (55%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Saudi” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Saudi’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/saudi (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=saudi · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP