NYT front-page headlines, August 31–September 6, 2026
In the week ending Sep 6, 2026, 9 of the 12 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with 11 of 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 12- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 69%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 57%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 68%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fear | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hot / Heat | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Gold | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Spain | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Woman | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 35%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Earthquake / Quake | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Party | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
0 matches for “JD / Vance”.
Where the listed words were said
A U.S. Court Reliably Aids Trump’s Aims
Ukraine Acclimates to Subterranean Classrooms
Kenyans Wrote College Essays For Americans. Then Came A.I.
Moving a Castle by Hand Dwindling Oil Reserves The Foo Fighters Formula
Ex-Generals Are Among Israelis Voicing Fears
Heat Changes Italian Attitudes Trillionaire Opens War Chest
Gold Rush Out of U.S.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-09-06:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-09-06:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP