Will “Woman” appear on the next NYT front page?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Woman” appeared on the NYT front page on 7 of 14 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 front pages we have transcripts for (Sep 6, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.

54%from settlement history only · n=14counts: anyone
Last 10
5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
anyone
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The New York Times (front page)

Woman

Probability
54% · n=14
Settled
7/14 (50%)
Last 8 front pages
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 5 - October 11) · our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27) · not listed

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20) · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: anyone

1 counted.

Tuesday, September 15otherIn transcript

In Trial of Brain Implant, Woman Speaks by Imagining the Words

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13) · not said

Open the appearance

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 31 - September 6) · our count 0 (needs 1) · the market settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30) · not said

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What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23) · not said

Open the appearance

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 10 - August 16) · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 18, 2026WomanPolymarketYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Oct 11, 2026WomanPolymarketYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Sep 20, 2026WomanPolymarketYes1
Sep 13, 2026WomanPolymarketNo0
Sep 6, 2026WomanPolymarketYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Aug 30, 2026WomanPolymarketNo0
Aug 23, 2026WomanPolymarketNo0
Aug 16, 2026WomanPolymarketYes–
Aug 9, 2026WomanPolymarketNo–
Aug 2, 2026WomanPolymarketNo–
Jul 26, 2026WomanPolymarketYes–
Jul 19, 2026WomanPolymarketNo–
Jul 12, 2026WomanPolymarketYes–
Jul 5, 2026WomanPolymarketNo–

Questions

How often does “Woman” appear on the NYT front page?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Woman” appeared on the NYT front page on 7 of 14 days with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 5, 2026 (50%), most recently on Oct 16, 2026.
What is the probability “Woman” appears on the NYT front page next time?
54%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “NYT front page: ‘Woman’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/nyt-front-page/words/woman (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=nyt-front-page&word=woman · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=nyt-front-page&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP