NYT front-page headlines, August 31–September 6, 2026
In the week ending Sep 6, 2026, 9 of the 12 words Polymarket listed appeared in front-page headlines; Parrot’s count agreed with 11 of 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 12- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 69%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 57%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 68%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fear | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Hot / Heat | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Gold | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Spain | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Woman | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 35%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Japan | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Earthquake / Quake | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Party | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPrint page (OCR) · The New York Times, front page (print) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
1 match for “Africa”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
Deportees Flown to Africa Tell of Shackles and Agony
Where the listed words were said
Trump’s View Of Bike Lanes? They Veer Left.
Ukraine Acclimates to Subterranean Classrooms
Kenyans Wrote College Essays For Americans. Then Came A.I.
Moving a Castle by Hand Dwindling Oil Reserves The Foo Fighters Formula
Ex-Generals Are Among Israelis Voicing Fears
Heat Changes Italian Attitudes Trillionaire Opens War Chest
Gold Rush Out of U.S.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/nyt-front-page:2026-09-06:front_page · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=nyt-front-page:2026-09-06:front_page · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP