ABC World News Tonight, September 3, 2026
On the Sep 3, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 6 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
15 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 54%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Football | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 34%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Vance | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Supreme Court | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 40%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Venezuela | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 29%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | No | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 59%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Pentagon | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Tiger Woods | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| OpenAI / Astra | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| USS Abraham Lincoln | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 25%n=25 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…Florida state authorities are now leading the investigation. Whit. Matt Rivers for us, thank you. Now to the war in Iran entering a seventh month.
Three youth football coaches now facing charges for brawling on the field during a game. Tonight, the determined bride and groom on their wedding day,…
And Pierre, while we have you, there's another headline tonight about an ice-related shooting in Minneapolis back in January. Yes, sources tell us an ice…
Vance saying he, quote, wouldn't call it a war. Here's ABC's Mary Bruce. More than six months into what the president said would be a…
…House. Thank you. The Trump administration making an urgent appeal to the Supreme Court to allow new Postal Service rules for mail-in ballots to take…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-03:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-03:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP