Will “China / Chinese” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (17%), most recently on Sep 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
China / Chinese
- Probability
- 35% · n=6
- Settled
- 1/6 (17%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…tonight, David, President Trump is not ruling out meeting with Putin and China's President Xi about ending this war, but notably President Zelensky would not…
…attorney. Where did she pass the bar exam? Which state? Which state? China. She said she had moved to China. And immediately the questions began.
…Trump doing a double take when she answered she'd quote moved to China. She said she's an attorney. Where did she pass the bar exam?…
…pass the bar exam? Which state? Zachariah telling reporters she moved to China. The White House has not said whether she passed the bar here…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | China / Chinese |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 7, 2026 | China / Chinese | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “China / Chinese” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said on World News Tonight in 1 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (17%), most recently on Sep 2, 2026.
- What is the probability “China / Chinese” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP